Westminster’s summer parties are in full swing and stuffed full of cheerful Tories.

But why are Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives so upbeat? They’re firmly in third or fourth place, running around 18-20 per cent in the current polling averages, well behind Reform UK who lead comfortably on around 25-26 per cent.

Reform were the clear winners at May’s local council elections and Labour is expecting a poll bounce off the back of installing Andy Burnham, who is expected to become prime minister on 20 July.

Shorts

“We are very chipper,” a member of the shadow Cabinet told The i Paper, canape in hand. “It’s simple really; in Kemi we think we have found a leader we can get behind.”