The United States men’s national team is moving on in the World Cup and faces an old foe in the next round. The U.S. takes on Belgium in the round of 16 on Monday, and the Americans could be in for a tight one with a spot in the quarterfinals at stake.The opening odds on FanDuel and DraftKings for Monday’s match put this as a true toss-up. Both the U.S. and Belgium have -110 odds to advance. Before the tournament, this match likely would’ve had Belgium as the favorite, but things have changed in recent weeks.Here’s a look at the odds for this match, plus the updated futures odds for the Americans to make history with a deep run.The four steps Pochettino took to make the USMNT World Cup contendersChristopher HamillUnited States vs. BelgiumTime: Monday, 8 p.m. ETTV: Fox (English), Telemundo (Spanish)Venue: Lumen Field, SeattleAmerican fans can be proud of the win against Bosnia and Herzegovina because wins in the knockout stage of the World Cup are incredibly rare for the U.S. That 2-0 win was the country’s second victory in the knockouts. The U.S. making the final 16 of a World Cup, however, is not nearly as rare.The U.S. reached this round four years ago and has now done so in six of the last nine World Cups. The American men had become pretty good at getting out of the group stage in the tournament’s previous 32-team format. It was what came after that proved incredibly difficult.Since 1994, the U.S. is 1-4 in this round. One of those four losses came against Belgium in 2014. When Curaçao goalkeeper Eloy Room tied the World Cup single-game save record with 15 saves against Ecuador in the group stage, the mark he tied was set by former U.S. keeper Tim Howard 12 years ago against Belgium. The United States was under siege in that game, but managed to go to extra time before losing 2-1.Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois, midfielder Kevin De Bruyne and striker Romelu Lukaku are still around from that Belgium team. In this tournament, Lukaku has scored twice, including on Wednesday against Senegal. De Bruyne is still the main playmaker, and Courtois is starting in goal.No one from that U.S. team in 2014 is on the 2026 roster.De Bruyne, now 35, and star winger Jérémy Doku were subbed off in the 56th minute Wednesday, with Belgium trailing Senegal 2-0. At the time, it seemed like a radical move for manager Rudi Garcia to take off arguably his two most talented players. But Lukaku, who subbed in at halftime, scored in the 86th minute to give Belgium a chance, before Youri Tielemans tied the game three minutes later. Belgium won in extra time with a late penalty kick.Lukaku will present a big target for the U.S. defense to manage, but he might not start in the Round of 16. The 33-year-old has started only once this tournament.That Belgium-Senegal match took place in Seattle, just like the U.S.-Belgium game will. Belgium, like the U.S., has played on the West Coast the entire tournament. The Red Devils also played in Seattle for their opening match against Egypt.Belgium’s midfield, led by De Bruyne and Tielemans, is by far the best the Americans will have seen at this World Cup, but it hasn’t always looked pretty. The Red Devils tied Egypt and Iran with lackluster attacking play and looked beaten against Senegal before the miraculous comeback.Before the tournament, Belgium was solidly ahead of the U.S. in the odds to win it all. That flipped after the U.S. had two dominant wins to start group play and Belgium had draws in two games they were favored to win.On the American side, the suspension of striker Folarin Balogun is a massive blow that could have shifted the odds a bit toward Belgium. Balogun scored his third goal of the tournament late in the first half against Bosnia, but was given a red card in the second half. Balogun has been a breakout star, and his absence will change how the U.S. attacks.While the U.S. has a solid chance against Belgium, the Americans are still heavy underdogs to go much further. With a potential meeting with Spain in the quarterfinals, the U.S. is between +320 and +330 to make a semifinal, implying a less than 25 percent chance.To make the final, the Americans are 11-1 on DraftKings and 12-1 on FanDuel. If you’re dreaming of an American World Cup title, DK has that at 23-1 while FD has it at 25-1.Jul 2, 2026Connections: Sports EditionSpot the pattern. Connect the termsFind the hidden link between sports terms