If you go back to President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s first State of the Nation Address (SONA) in July 2022, you will find a tidy list of headline numbers. (Which many people also found quite boring.)

Real GDP growth of 6.5 to 8% every year. Single-digit poverty by 2028. Upper middle-income status by 2024. A deficit down to 3% of GDP by 2028, and debt below 60% of GDP by 2025.

It was, Marcos told Congress, an anchor for the whole six-year plan, a “credible commitment” to the country.

Four years later, that anchor has mostly failed to hold. With the 2026 SONA coming up, now is as good a time as any to check the promises against the record.

Anemic growth