China’s provincial-level governments have now all published their 15th five-year plans – economic and social development blueprints for 2026-2030.

These provincial plans reaffirm the overall trajectory of China’s energy transition, but reveal regional differences, based on economic and geographic considerations.

Provincial plans are a critical mechanism for showing how high-level targets from the central government will be translated into action.

For example, binding indicators set at national level include reductions in carbon intensity – carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions per unit of economic output – and the proportion of non-fossil energy in total consumption.

Subsequent targets are then set for each province and tied to the performance evaluations of top local officials, who are ultimately responsible for delivery.