sThe Federal Reserve left its target interest rate unchanged in Kevin Warsh's first meeting as its chairman and released projections showing that many top officials now anticipate raising interest rates this year.The big picture: Warsh is taking charge of the central bank amid a renewed surge of inflation that has dashed hopes for interest rate cuts this year."Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East," the FOMC's statement said. "Productivity growth and capital investment are strong," the statement said. "Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little.""Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee's 2 percent goal, in part reflecting supply shocks that have driven price increases in certain sectors, including energy. The Committee will deliver price stability."Driving the news: The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee left its main interest rate target unchanged in a range of 3.5% to 3.75% for the fourth consecutive meeting.The statement omitted earlier language about future moves to rates, in line with Warsh's desire to get away from giving guidance about future policy moves.It appears that Warsh also declined to offer his own projection for appropriate interest rate policy in the coming years. What they're saying: "The statement just gives you the facts as best we can judge it," Warsh told reporters at a press conference. He added that that so-called forward guidance "was not well suited to the current policy conjuncture."The central bank drastically shortened and simplified its policy statement, in line with Warsh's stated goals, to 130 words compared with April's 341 words.Between the lines: President Trump appointed Warsh in hopes of securing lower interest rates, but economic circumstances haven't cooperated.Zoom in: New quarterly projections showed a significant divide among policymakers as to the rate path ahead. Nine officials who thought a rate hike would be justified, eight saw no change through year-end, and now only one envisions a rate cut.Of note: There were no dissents, after a multi-decade high of four dissents in late April at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chair.State of play: The consensus view of Fed leaders for much of the year has been that inflation was sufficiently quiescent that rate cuts are justified, but in recent months an inflationary surge — and not just energy prices inflated by the Iran war — has thrown that into question.In March, the median Fed official anticipated 2.7% inflation this year. Now, the median official anticipates a 3.6% rise in the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index.Inflation has run hot even outside of the Iran war-fueled energy price surge. The median forecast is now for 3.3% core inflation this year, up from 2.7% in March.Zoom out: Warsh has also sought big changes in how the Fed communicates and shapes its policy decisions. The shorter statement is the first, clearest example of that.He hinted at more changes, perhaps potentially significant ones, to come.Warsh said he was establishing five task forces to assess key areas for Fed policy: Fed communications; the central bank's balance sheet; data gathering; productivity and jobs, and the inflation framework. It will include outside experts, with plans to begin in the weeks ahead and conclude by year-end. The task force members will "have a straightforward charge: Start with first principles, ask hard questions, examine current practice, consider alternatives, and ultimately propose next steps for policymaker consideration," Warsh said. Editor's note: This story has been updated with details from Kevin Warsh's press conference.
Fed leaves rates steady in Warsh's first meeting
The central bank released projections showing that many top officials now anticipate raising interest rates this year.










