Key Facts

What the world’s markets decided. On the morning of the US Federal Reserve’s big decision, investors made a clear bet — they sold high-flying technology and bought banks. Chipmakers tumbled −5.92% and the tech sector fell −2.79%, while JPMorgan jumped +3.68% and the bank sector rose +1.48%.

Why the switch. US inflation came in hot at 4.2% for May, the third month in a row it has risen, which has flipped the market’s hope for interest-rate cuts into a fear of rate hikes. Higher-for-longer rates hurt expensive tech stocks and help banks, so money moved accordingly.

The tell in the indexes. The split showed up clearly — the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell −1.15% while the bank-and-industrial Dow rose +0.64%. When those two move in opposite directions, it is the classic sign of a rotation rather than a broad sell-off.

The clue in the wider scan. Oil kept crashing, with US crude and Brent both down about 4.7% as the US-Iran peace deal holds, even though the official inflation number ran hot. That gap — falling oil now, hot inflation data from May — is exactly the puzzle the Fed must judge today.