Stay up to date with notifications from The IndependentNotifications can be managed in browser preferences.AllNewsSportCultureLifestyleA Reform UK board member has admitted that Andy Burnham's influence is making the Makerfield by-election very challenging for the party. Internal Reform UK data suggests the party is facing a comfortable defeat, with Labour predicted to win by approximately five points. The data indicates that Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain is set to split the right-wing vote, hindering Reform UK's prospects of victory. Predictions estimate Labour will secure around 45.5% of the vote, Reform UK 41%, and Restore Britain 5%. Reform insiders have cited a 'disastrous candidate selection' and the party's inability to counter Restore Britain's impact as significant weaknesses. In fullEven Reform’s own data suggests it will lose Makerfield by-election, insider saysThank you for registeringPlease refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in