President Donald Trump‘s declaration that the U.S.-Iran peace deal is “now complete” has minted at least one outsized winner on Polymarket.
A pseudonymous trader known as wan123 booked more than $1 million in profit over a single day, according to public portfolio data, as the platform repriced an agreement toward near-certainty.
wan123 had loaded up on “Yes” shares for a permanent U.S.-Iran deal by June 15, buying in around 16 cents on a contract now near 88 cents, still shy of a full dollar as traders weigh whether Monday’s declaration counts before Friday’s signing.
That position alone was worth over $1.25 million in the portfolio, a gain of more than 460%, on the June 15 market.
A smaller “Yes” bet on a deal by June 30 has more than tripled, and a wager that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by month’s end has padded the total.
