They began the World Cup as outsiders in Group D but Australia now have — per The Athletic’s projections — an 85 percent chance of reaching the knockout rounds after beating Turkey 2-0 in Vancouver on Saturday night.Tony Popovic’s industrious side took the lead midway through the first half thanks to a wonderfully-composed finish from 20-year-old Nestory Irankunda, one of The Athletic’s Stars of Soccer. The Watford player sped onto a long ball, nudged it past a defender and produced a tidy near-post finish to put his side in front.Turkey head coach Vincenzo Montella looked to his stacked bench, bringing on Juventus star Kenan Yildiz at half-time, but his side continued to toil when trying to break down Australia’s stubborn defence and beat the impressive Patrick Beach in goal — the 22-year old ‘keeper making only his third appearance for his country.And an entertaining game was sealed with 15 minutes remaining when Connor Metcalfe struck from outside the box to make it two and send the travelling Australia fans wild.Here The Athletic’s Simon Hughes and Joshua Kloke break down the key talking points.How significant a result was this?Australian supporters in Vancouver ahead of this game made it clear they really want to beat the United States because an impression has formed in the host country that the Socceroos were the easiest opponent in the group.The US clearly has more talent in its team but Australia will be a tough nut to crack. Ahead of Turkey’s surprise defeat, head coach Vincenzo Montella warned that his team needed to be careful not to get sucked into Australia’s way of playing but they did.If the US underestimate them on Friday, they’ll be in trouble.