Trader sentiment has sharply reversed after President Trump canceled the planned strikes and negotiators signaled progress toward a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal.Risk assets are catching a bid Friday morning, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures both up roughly 30 bps. Treasurys are also rallying, with yields down 8 to 10 bps across the curve, led by the belly, and the 10-year yield is around 4.45%.The timing could not be better for Elon Musk. SpaceX shares are set to hit public markets in the coming hours, potentially making Musk the world's first trillionaire on paper and minting roughly 4,000 employee millionaires. SpaceX's public market debut comes as themes of artificial intelligence and the space economy ramp up.Already, pre-IPO trading in the derivatives linked to SpaceX shows a potential first-day surge of 30% to 50%.IG International pricing implied a market value near $2.4 trillion on Friday morning, more than 35% above the company's $135 IPO price and $1.77 trillion valuation.On Hyperliquid, SpaceX-linked perpetual futures traded at $175-$180, implying a valuation above $2.3 trillion, with 24-hour volume of more than $224 million and open interest of over $252 million.Late in the U.S. cash session on Thursday, SpaceX filed a free writing prospectus (FWP) which confirmed the company sold 555.6 million shares at $135 each, for a total size of $75 billion (excluding the greenshoe), making history with the biggest-ever IPO, launching it into the top ranks of the largest public companies and putting founder Elon Musk on the verge of becoming the world's first trillionaire.For context, SpaceX is more than double the size of the previous largest IPO - Saudi Aramco's $29.4 billion listing in 2019. The SpaceX registration statement was declared effective on Thursday.The pricing details are shown below.At $135, SpaceX will have a market value of $1.77 trillion. Accounting for employee stock options and restricted share units, the pricing gives it a fully diluted valuation of about $1.8 trillion. SpaceX's market value will rank it among the top 10 public companies globally, and make it larger even than Musk's own Tesla.According to Polymarket, there is a 84% chance the IPO closes above its offering price tomorrow, and a 46% chance it rises more than 20%.Nearly 50% odds on Polymarket that SPCX rises 20% ($2.2TN market cap) on its first day of trading, and 84% odds it closes above its offering price. https://t.co/UfN4FOlP7T pic.twitter.com/6U0S0HDyt1
Liftoff: SpaceX Gray-Market Trading Signals 35% IPO Pop
Odds of a big SpaceX first day gain rising sharply: now probability of a 20% gain (>$2.2TN) at 62%, up from 20% yesterday, and a 30% gain (>$2.4TN) at 46%...
SpaceX launches $75B IPO at $135/share, becoming the world's largest IPO with a $1.77T valuation. Musk's play: vertically-integrated AI infrastructure spanning space-based communications and datacenters plus terrestrial compute (Colossus DCs) to capture AI delivery dominance, targeting $10T TAM by 2035.












