This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay’s board rejected GameStop’s unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock bid on May 12, 2026, labeling the proposal “neither credible nor attractive” amid questions over financing feasibility given GameStop’s balance sheet and market capitalization. The non-binding offer, submitted May 3 at a $125 per share premium with a 5% stake already accumulated, highlighted significant execution risks including regulatory approvals, shareholder opposition, and integration challenges between the disparate retail and e-commerce operations. Trader consensus reflected in the 84.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of any revised terms or renewed engagement since the rejection, underscoring the low likelihood of a completed transaction absent major new catalysts.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETVolume$1,279,370End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedMay 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
