This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin Newsom, the term-limited California governor, has moved from past denials of presidential interest to publicly signaling openness to a 2028 Democratic nomination bid. In an October 2025 CBS interview, he stated he would seriously evaluate a campaign after the November 2026 midterms, while emphasizing his focus on helping Democrats regain House control. His national visibility has grown through repeated public exchanges with the Trump administration on issues including redistricting and immigration, plus a March 2026 New Hampshire book tour stop that amplified speculation. With his second term ending in January 2027, traders are watching for any pre- or post-midterm announcement signals amid early primary positioning by other potential contenders.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ETVolume$82,772End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedOct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
