My latest polling, which I unveiled this week at the Black Sea Security Forum in Odesa, reveals much about how opinion is evolving in Ukraine and among some of its key allies. It also provides a telling insight into Russians’ views about the war and their own regime. The war: progress and duration Some strategists have begun talking about the conflict reaching its “endgame.” Whatever the truth of that, Ukrainians are not getting their hopes up yet: I found a majority expecting it to continue for at least another year. Only just over one in three think it will be over by the end of 2026, and most believe the confrontation with Iran has made the conclusion of their own conflict more distant. Russians are even more likely to think the war will still be going on a year from now.JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official. As for how things are going, only 16 per cent of Ukrainians think they currently have the upper hand – down from nearly half of those we surveyed a year into the conflict in 2023. Two thirds believe no side currently has a clear advantage, as they did last year, even though Russia has experienced net territorial losses over that time. Majorities in the five allied countries we surveyed – the UK, the US, Germany, France and Poland – also agreed that neither side was in an obviously stronger position. Notably, though, in each country the dissenting minority was more likely to think things were going Russia’s way than Ukraine’s.