This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX is accelerating its IPO timeline toward a potential Nasdaq listing as early as June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, with reports pointing to a record raise of $50–80 billion at a target valuation of $1.5–1.75 trillion. Recent developments include an earlier-than-expected SEC review, confidential filings progressing to public prospectus stage, and internal share sales reflecting strong Starlink revenue growth alongside the xAI merger. Traders are weighing Starlink’s satellite broadband expansion and orbital data-center ambitions against execution risks in a competitive launch market and regulatory hurdles for large-scale space infrastructure. The roadshow launch around June 4 and final pricing window will likely serve as immediate catalysts shaping closing market-cap outcomes.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ETVolume$3,617,635End DateDec 31, 2027Market OpenedFeb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
