Things aren’t going well for Russia, and it’s about to get a lot worse. Vladimir Putin is now four years into a war that was supposed to be over in days. He now has decisions to make, including whether to risk his own power and possibly his life.

Before I explain those decisions and how we can use them to thwart Russia’s President, let me first introduce you to Putin, the man I grew up fighting. By his own account he’s a street fighter and a bully. He grew up poor and learned that the small kid on the streets must project toughness and power.

However, he’s also a coward. Putin never starts a fight he thinks he might lose. He’s the man who was so scared of Covid-19 that he lived in isolation for two years during the pandemic and sat 20 feet away from France’s Emmanuel Macron at a comically long table.

Shorts

He’s also the man who now spends most of his time living in bunkers, who’s fixated on the image of Muammar Gaddafi being beaten to death by his own people, and who is terrified of an uprising in Russia. In his mind, he has two enemies: the West and his own people.