Tech companies seem to be falling over each other these days in firing people to either replace them with AI or to pay to build AI infrastructure. Wouldn’t it be nice if they at least waited until AI actually worked for business?

On the one hand, top tech businesses such as Amazon, Block, Cisco, Cloudflare, and Meta have all announced that they’re slashing payrolls — either because AI can do the same work as people or they need the cash to build out their AI infrastructure. Isn’t that great? All together, of the 37,638 tech job cuts so far this year, 47.9% — almost half — can be tracked back to AI.

On the other hand, despite all the AI hype and hysteria, no one has yet proven that AI is, generally speaking, really all that helpful for businesses. Oh, I know, I know. You did great things with OpenClaw vibe programming. Microsoft’s CEO, Satya Nadella, claims 20% to 30% of the company’s code was written by AI. And Nvidia assures us that 88% of its surveyed customers report AI has increased their revenues.

But really, what else would they say? “Dear Board, we just blew half a billion bucks on Nvidia GPUs, and we’re losing money hand over fist?” I don’t think so.

The truth is, as an IDC study reports, a mind-boggling 88% of proof-of-concept AI projects never reach production. Lest we forget, MIT’s The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025 study found that 95% of AI projects fail to deliver measurable P&L impact.