SAN FRANCISCO — Mike Dunleavy set the tone for his entire summer with the first answer in his postseason news conference.In his opening statement, the Golden State Warriors general manager mentioned the multiple conversations that led to Steve Kerr returning for a 13th season as head coach. As a follow-up, Dunleavy was asked how many of those conversations centered around the roster and what could be done to improve a team that finished 37-45 in the regular season.What followed was an explanation that will be tested over the next few months as Dunleavy and owner Joe Lacob attempt to reshape the roster over the next few months.“In the grand scheme of things, not a lot about the roster,” Dunleavy said. “This just isn’t about the roster, frankly. This year, I don’t think we came up short because of the talent on the roster. It was injuries and things we could control. Do we need to get better roster-wise? I think so, but we didn’t get to a point where we played a team where the roster is better than ours. So for that reason, we’re more focused on the stuff that we can control.”Dunleavy believes in this roster, but his actions ultimately will speak louder than words. The Warriors’ approach to the No. 11 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft could be especially revealing. If Golden State keeps the selection instead of using it in a trade, it would have a chance to add the kind of young, athletic player this aging roster lacks. If Dunleavy loves this roster as much as he says, then the Warriors’ improvements will come on the margins after a season that fell short of expectations.Here’s a closer look at each player’s outlook — and the likelihood each returns next season.Stephen CurryChances to return: 100 percentHe remains the centerpiece of everything the organization does. Dunleavy said during the same news conference that talks on an extension will begin this summer, and the Warriors want Curry to “be here for as long as he wants.”Jimmy ButlerChances to return: 80 percentButler is expected to miss a chunk of next season as he continues to recover from an ACL injury. He believes he’ll be back, and the Warriors have made it clear to him that they want him to return, but if a prominent star appears on the market, there remains a possibility he could be moved.Draymond GreenChances to return: 70 percentDunleavy made it clear “the ball’s in his court” regarding Green’s next step, which is whether or not he will pick up his nearly $28 million player option for next year. Green could decide to work out a longer deal worth less money per year to stay with the Warriors, but his consistency on a nightly basis isn’t the same as it once was. He struggled to make an impact night to night, and it is unclear what kind of money he would see if he decided to test the open market.Al HorfordChances to return: 65 percentHorford has to answer two questions to answer over the next few weeks: Does the 39-year-old still want to play in the NBA? And does he want to pick up his $6 million player option and continue playing for the Warriors?Kerr made it clear he would like to have Horford back. Horford also said he enjoyed his season in the Bay, and his family was comfortable. The problem for Horford — who played only 45 games because of a variety of injuries and doesn’t play both sides of back-to-backs anymore — is that the Warriors are no longer under the illusion they are still title contenders, which was one of the key reasons he wanted to play with Curry and company in the first place. He has to answer one more question: Does he want to spend potentially his last year in the league playing for a team that isn’t going to win another championship?Kristaps PorziņģisChances of returning: 50 percentThe Warriors were optimistic Porziņģis could stay healthy and produce after acquiring him from the Atlanta Hawks in exchange for Jonathan Kuminga and Buddy Hield before February’s trade deadline, but that wasn’t meant to be as Porziņģis played just 15 games and struggled to stay on the floor. He developed a strong relationship with vice president of player health and performance Rick Celebrini, but he was noncommittal about a return while discussing his future at the end of the season. The biggest question surrounding Porziņģis: What does his market look like after two injury-plagued years? The Warriors would be wise to wait out the rest of the league and see who they are bidding against before deciding whether or not to bring the big man back.Moses MoodyChances of returning: 99 percentMoody was in the midst of a solid season before suffering a gruesome ruptured patellar tendon injury that will force him to miss a big part of next season while he rehabs.Brandin PodziemskiChances of returning: 90 percentPodziemski had a solid third season and provided durability while playing in every game. Dunleavy was open about the idea of trying to work out an extension during the season, though, as he noted, the numbers will have to work out for both sides. While Podziemski improved on the floor, a portion of the fanbase did not always support him given some of the public comments he made during the season. The young guard didn’t let that negative feedback stop him as he averaged a career-high 13.8 points a game. The only way Podziemski’s not there on opening night is if the Warriors include him in a megadeal for another star.De’Anthony MeltonChances of returning: 50 percentMelton has a player option worth more than $3 million that he has to decide whether or not to pick up. The feeling across the league is that he will opt out in pursuit of a larger payday, but it remains to be seen what kind of market there will be for his services. Melton, who missed most of last season with an ACL injury, played well to start the season but seemed to fade down the stretch.Gui SantosChances of returning: 95 percentSantos broke through this season after Butler’s injury and found a consistent place in Kerr’s rotation. He’ll be 24 next month and is happily entrenched with the Warriors after signing a new three-year deal at the end of last season. He continues to improve, and the coaching staff remains impressed by his consistent work ethic.Will Gary Payton II (0) team up with Will Richard for the Golden State Warriors next season? (Justin Ford / Getty Images)Gary Payton IIChances of returning: 50 percentPayton had a productive year off the bench, has a strong relationship with Curry and is a Kerr favorite, but with some roster changes looming, his presence on next year’s team isn’t a sure thing.Seth CurryChances of returning: 30 percentCurry still has the ability to knock down shots, but he just couldn’t stay on the floor because of various injuries. The younger Curry brother played in just 10 games. Having the Curry brothers playing together was a fun storyline, but Kerr needs someone off the bench who can be more reliable.Quinten PostChances of returning: 15 percentPost’s future largely hinges on what happens with Horford and Porziņģis. Post fell out of the rotation at the end of the season, but Kerr has praised his talent at various points and offered optimism about his potential success in the league.Pat SpencerChances of returning: 40 percentThe popular backup point guard created an opportunity for himself with solid play in December, but he couldn’t find the consistency needed to stay in rotation the rest of the season. Kerr has a soft spot for Spencer, but his future with the Warriors remains uncertain — much like it was at the end of last season.Will RichardChances of returning: 95 percentThe Florida alum drew praise from teammates and coaches early in the season for his ability to adapt quickly to the NBA game. He made solid strides in his rookie year, but he hit a wall in the second half of the season and needs to have a strong summer-league performance to build momentum again heading into Year 2.Nate WilliamsChances of returning: 20 percentWilliams is a hard-nosed player on a two-way deal, but his future with the Warriors is hazy. He showed flashes of solid play, but he likely will be on the fringe of the roster again.Malevy LeonsChances of returning: 50 percentLeons earned respect from Kerr and his staff by playing through a painful wrist injury when the Warriors needed players to stack up minutes at the end of an injury-plagued season. Leons is a solid defender and has room to grow in his game. He would be intriguing on another two-way deal.LJ CryerChances of returning: 50 percentCryer is an NBA-caliber scorer off the bench, but a hamstring injury didn’t allow him to show what he is fully capable of doing over the final couple months of the season. He likely needs some more seasoning in the G League and in summer league, but his teammates and coaches like his offensive confidence.Charles Bassey Chances of returning: 20 percentBassey played in just five games late in the season, but it was enough to show the organization that he could potentially bring a spark off the bench if given more opportunity.