Our tracker suggests it has suffered its first sustained net loss since October 2023
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Even at an accelerated recent pace, seizing Ukraine’s eastern regions would take more than two years
Ukraine’s gradual retreat is not only in Donbas
Russia suffers huge casualties, but its new drone-powered assault is working
A counter-attack in Kupiansk is promising, but the overall outlook is not
After four years of fighting, our modelling reveals a grim toll
A checkpoint in Belarus provides a path from occupied territories back to Ukraine
