As the byelection campaign enters the final week, Thursday’s Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos B&A poll suggests that multiple candidates are in contention for the seat formerly held by Paschal Donohoe in Dublin Central.
The two front-runners at this point are: Janice Boylan (Sinn Féin), who currently attracts 21 per cent of the first preference votes, and Daniel Ennis (Social Democrats) on 18 per cent. Their nearest rivals are: Gerry Hutch (Independent) on 14 per cent and Ray McAdam (Fine Gael) on 13 per cent. With only eight points separating first and fourth in this poll, and a margin of error of about plus or minus 4 points, the race to become Dublin Central’s next TD remains wide open.
Fieldwork for this poll was undertaken between May 7th and 12th. A total of 659 interviews were conducted face-to-face in-home across 30 sampling points throughout the constituency.
A total of 14 candidates are seeking election when voters go to the polls next Friday.
Boylan at present leads the field with 21 per cent support. This is close to the 23 per cent vote share that Sinn Féin achieved in Dublin Central in the 2024 general election when party leader Mary Lou McDonald topped the poll and was the first candidate elected. Boylan was her running mate on that occasion, attracting 4 per cent of first preference votes.
