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On current maps, our model sees Democrats as all but certain to flip the House
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Compelling long reads
Future-gazing analysis, predictions and speculation
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Watch engaging short films

If both sides abandon principle, a draw is possible, but Republicans face fewer obstacles

Though the predictive power of these contests has shrunk of late

Democrats’ hopes to regain power in Congress may turn on a vote in California on November 4th

Democrats have a good chance of retaking the House of Representatives in the midterms in November. But even that would not solve…

Democrats have a chance to score a stunning upset in November’s midterms

But the Democrats’ response is self-defeating