Meteorologists bet on ‘swing’ to warming El Niño weather cycle
Chance of natural cycle that raises equatorial ocean temperatures put at 59% between August and October
Chance of natural cycle that raises equatorial ocean temperatures put at 59% between August and October

Concerns raised about the development of an El Niño warming cycle this year combined with climate change

The usually innocuous weather system poses more threat than since the early 1970s

Pattern of weather extremes as global temperatures reach 1.49C above preindustrial levels for the month of February

Rate of solar radiation stored in the planet has accelerated over past two decades

Keep an eye on the yen and other areas of consensus as temperatures rise

Global average monthly rise sustained at 1.48C since pre-industrial times