Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran
FT analysis identifies 12 accounts on platform that made large well-timed wagers just ahead of start of conflict
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Half of ‘long shot’ Polymarket bets on military action are successful
High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets
The war of unintended consequences
Israel and the US have achieved many military aims in Iran, but the unpredictable fallout poses threats to everyone
Hedge funds make record bets against European stocks
Short positions rise sharply as traders eye economic fallout from Iran war
Which leading economies will pay the biggest price for the Iran war?
American consumers will feel pain at the petrol pump, but US is a net energy exporter unlike its European allies
From Lockheed to start-ups, arms makers jostle for Iran war orders
Middle East conflict holds out promise to bring another windfall for defence groups as governments restock arsenals
Iran war will leave a long-term ‘scar’ on Wall Street, investors warn
Commodity prices and bond yields unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels quickly