FT analysis identifies 12 accounts on platform that made large well-timed wagers just ahead of start of conflict
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High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets
Israel and the US have achieved many military aims in Iran, but the unpredictable fallout poses threats to everyone
Short positions rise sharply as traders eye economic fallout from Iran war
American consumers will feel pain at the petrol pump, but US is a net energy exporter unlike its European allies
Middle East conflict holds out promise to bring another windfall for defence groups as governments restock arsenals
Commodity prices and bond yields unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels quickly
