CNN’s chief data analyst Harry Enten on Monday spotted how voters without a college degree, a key demographic that helped launch Donald Trump to a second term, have pulled a big “switcheroo” on the president. (Watch his analysis below.)
Enten highlighted how Trump’s approval numbers with the voting cohort are “absolutely collapsing” as the president’s net approval rating has cratered to -9 percentage points, a notable drop since the group favored him over then-Vice President Kamala Harris back in 2024 (by a margin of +14 points).
The GOP’s advantage with non-college voters has also taken a plunge, the data chief explained.
Republicans now have a slim edge over Democrats (by a margin of +4 points) when it comes to non-college voters’ choice for Congress ahead of November’s midterms, per CNN exit polling and Enten’s data aggregation.
That’s a dip from the 2024 election, when the GOP held an advantage of +13 points over Democrats with the group.
