Always beware a declining superpower
Even under normal leadership, a status-anxious US would be lashing out
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How to de-risk from America
There is no precedent of a dominant power abandoning its primacy, as Trump is doing
Middle powers face a new age of uncertainty
Rather than unleashing a new multi-polar era, US retreat has left states scrapping for advantage in an ill-defined order
Middle powers may miss the global order more than they think
Even if you are not interested in the superpowers, they will sooner or later be interested in you
Technological sovereignty with American characteristics
The US has decided it can no longer afford to outsource its chipmaking future
When dependence on America becomes a vulnerability
Allies have learnt that partnership with Trump’s US can endanger them
The downside of staving off recessions
Long periods of expansion create fiscal, financial and productivity risks