Economists are facing a recession
Demand for their work is down as a hiring crunch hits
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The downside of staving off recessions
Long periods of expansion create fiscal, financial and productivity risks
US consumer confidence plunges to 12-year low
Increasingly bifurcated economy undermines strong GDP and productivity growth
How economists lost traction
Experts are struggling in a less predictable world rife with simple and popular answers
US economic outlook obscured by shutdown-triggered data gap
The statistical blind spot could affect everything from interest rate cuts to investment decisions
It’s not just a tech sell-off
And more on the sentiment puzzle
Beware of overconfidence
There are limits to extrapolating from last year’s economic resilience