Open source could pop the AI bubble — and soon
Valuations rest on the incorrect assumption that frontier model creators have built massive, durable moats
Valuations rest on the incorrect assumption that frontier model creators have built massive, durable moats

Valuations may be spectacular and a bust could come — but while there’s exuberance there is no mania or irrationality

Given that the growth of demand for AI is so unpredictable, there can be no doubt investor behaviour is speculative

So much of bubble activity is driven by feedback loops, dubbed reflexivity by the well-known investor

The high priests of Silicon Valley and Wall Street are beginning to acknowledge the excesses of Big Tech valuations

The surge in investment may end up looking more like previous cycles of over-optimism and heavy capital spending

As investment rush accelerates, the winners will control inputs unlikely to be commoditised