Fighting in Ukraine will grind on in 2026. Vladimir Putin will continue to throw away Russian lives pointlessly, but sooner or later a reckoning is coming
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But Vladimir Putin will keep fighting, and claiming victory prematurely
His every move to preserve power accelerates decay, writes a former senior official in the Russian government
Russia’s president cannot win the war, but fears peace
Imagining how the West might lose in Ukraine is a first step to avoiding disaster
Even at an accelerated recent pace, seizing Ukraine’s eastern regions would take more than two years
Europe must offer Ukraine a big enough financial package to deter the Kremlin
