Nobel Institute probes peace prize leak after Polymarket surge
María Corina Machado’s odds surged on online betting site hours before official announcement
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Nobel Peace Prize awarded to Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado
Win dashes hopes of Donald Trump after US president repeatedly claimed he should be awarded prize
Half of ‘long shot’ Polymarket bets on military action are successful
High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets
Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado, Venezuela’s ‘Iron Lady’
Scion of industrialist has remade herself into grassroots campaigner bent on unseating President Nicolás Maduro
The uses and abuses of prediction markets
Insider bets, low liquidity and regulatory gaps complicate efforts to turn wagers into financial tools
Politics not tech makes the world go round
The future, like the recent past, will be shaped in the public realm
The politics of the Nobel Prize
This year, the world’s highest-profile celebration of scientific excellence wants to celebrate academic freedom