NFL Season
Preview
It should come as little surprise that my NFL Projection Model once again sees the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills as the three best teams in the AFC. What might surprise you, however, is that the model doesn’t see the three-time reigning AFC champion Chiefs as the conference favorites.
In fact, they’re not even No. 2. Right now, the model sees the Bills as the AFC favorites, with the Ravens second and the Chiefs a close third. Of course, you should never bet against quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, who have been to the AFC title game seven years in a row. Perhaps as the year goes on, they can reclaim their place atop the AFC, but for now, they’re not seen as the absolute cream of the crop.
Speaking of which, while the top three have largely separated themselves from the pack, there are a few teams hovering a tier below, threatening to push themselves into true contender status. Let’s take a quick look at each division and examine the win total projections for each AFC team heading into the 2025 regular season.






