Southern powerhouses report lower growth rates for first half of 2025, with analysts citing trade and property challenges as the cause

Two cities that have served as economic pillars for China’s southern province of Guangdong appear to be losing steam relative to their peers, prompting calls for stronger action to revive businesses.

The simultaneous slowdown came as uncertainty grips the global supply chain and domestic demand fails to make up the shortfall, analysts said.

“Shenzhen is facing dual headwinds from weakening global demand and a local property downturn, particularly in the commercial real estate sector, which has dragged down both exports and investment,” said Peng Peng, executive chairman of the Guangdong Society of Reform, a think tank affiliated with the provincial government.

Shenzhen’s decline is particularly notable. According to city government statistics, fixed-asset investment dropped 10.9 per cent year-on-year and real estate development plunged 15.1 per cent, reflecting weakened investor confidence.