It paid to be lucky rather than good for Lionesses in the Euros knockouts but scale of task in Basel will be on another level

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ngland-Spain is the final everyone predicted before the tournament and it is a great match-up. An England victory would be an even bigger achievement than when they won Euro 2022, because this is a harder final than the one against Germany at Wembley.

England should be the favourites purely because they are the holders and have had the experience of winning it. Their belief that they can always get back into a game, no matter how indifferent they’ve been, is the one thing that stands out about England. Sometimes it pays to be lucky rather than good, but we shouldn’t dismiss that or talk it down. Their resilience is their superpower, and although they haven’t always been free-flowing, they’ve found ways to win, which is down to the character of the players and, most importantly, the ‘finishers’ from the bench demonstrating that England have a lot of quality and depth.

That does not mean Sarina Wiegman should necessarily change her starting team because, as good as Michelle’s Agyemang’s impact has been with her three goals in four caps, it is another jump up to do it from the start. There is so much a starting centre-forward has to do other than score goals, including to set the press, and Alessia Russo knows that role inside out. I cannot see Sarina changing that, and the strategy of players coming from the bench is working, even if the time for them to make an impact is getting shorter and shorter.