Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

These are challenging times for central bankers. After steering through the Covid-19 pandemic, and then the energy shock after the Russia-Ukraine war, they must now set monetary policy in the face of an unpredictable trade war, and conflict in the Middle East.

Faced with such uncertainty, the Bank of England is expected to sit on its hands today when it sets UK interest rates.

According to the money markets, there’s a 96% chance that the BoE leaves rates on hold at 4.25% at noon today, and only a 4% possibility of a quarter-point cut (which would bring Bank Rate down to 4%).